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Crown Green Handicap

Graeme Pickard

Team: Bebington ParkDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

792

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 2 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

8

Matches Played

2

Wins

6

Losses

25%

Win Rate

11.0

Avg Win Margin

10.3

Avg Loss Margin

1-4

Home Record

1-2

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
8 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/14/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (8 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 8 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

15 Jun20 Jul10 Aug17 Aug24 Aug24 Jun12 May14 Jul-125811

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.17
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
11.0
score+0.50→contribution+0.12
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.3
score-0.39→contribution-0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(15%)
793
score-0.75→contribution-0.11
Weighted Score-0.286
Sample Size Confidence
80%(8/33 matches)
Rating886 → shrunk 909→ adjusted 787
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)834
Recency Blend11% (8 recent matches)
Final Rating792
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W6L8 matches·25% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bebington Park2023–2026Division B, Division C82625%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/14/2026Hayley JonesH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
5/12/2026Adrian MantleH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
6/24/2025Kevin WalshA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision B
8/24/2023Mike ElkinsA21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision C
8/17/2023Deborah SilcockH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/10/2023Alan PritchardA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
7/20/2023George McalenyH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/15/2023Mal SmithH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1025% win rate— steady
LLLWLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Hayley Jones0110%7/14/2026
Adrian Mantle0110%5/12/2026
Kevin Walsh0110%6/24/2025
Mike Elkins101100%8/24/2023
Deborah Silcock0110%8/17/2023
Alan Pritchard0110%8/10/2023
George Mcaleny0110%7/20/2023
Mal Smith101100%6/15/2023
Biggest Win
Mike Elkins (+19)8/24/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Kevin Walsh (-18)6/24/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
25% → 25%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7938 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-625% win rate

By Division

Division C2-3 (40%)
Division B0-3 (0%)
Division B0%
0W·3L·3 played
Division C40%
2W·3L·5 played

Debut

Jun 15, 2023

Latest

Jul 14, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (3.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

2.7 (8 total)

Seasons

202320252026